COMPare

Tracking switched outcomes in clinical trials

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Annals update protocol sharing requirements for trialists, after COMPare finds shortcomings

May 3, 2016 - by Henry Drysdale Leave a Comment

The COMPare Trials research project assessed 5 trials published in Annals of Internal Medicine for misreported outcomes – a well-documented and common source of bias. We found that all 5 trials published in Annals over the 6 week period misreported their prespecified outcomes, and so we sent a correction letter on each trial.

We also identified a systemic problem. None of these trials had a publicly accessible protocol dated before trial commencement, so we took the prespecified outcomes from the trial registry entries, and compared these against those published in the report. This is not necessarily a problem: trial registers were set up explicitly for the purpose of preventing selective reporting of outcomes, with support from august bodies such as ICMJE, WHO, and legislation across various territories.

In response, Annals’ editors claimed that the registry entries are often “outdated, vague or erroneous”, and that the discrepancies we found are accounted for by trial protocols that cannot be accessed publicly, but are reviewed by editors behind closed doors. We view this as a very outdated approach, lacking in transparency, and a problematic view of trial registers. [Read more…]

The Lancet and COMPare: why journals should address outcome switching themselves

April 29, 2016 - by Henry Drysdale 3 Comments

As you will hopefully know by now, we have been writing to five leading medical journals to correct the record on misreported trials. We have sent 58 letters in total, and the responses have been varied: some (such as the BMJ) have issued rapid corrections, whereas others (such as JAMA and NEJM) have refused to publish any correspondence at all. The Lancet have taken a mixed approach: of 19 letters of correction we submitted they have so far published 8, accepted a further 3 for future publication, and rejected 2; with 6 still under editorial review dating back as far as 5 months.

However, there is an extra feature, around an important issue: who should take responsibility for misreported outcomes in clinical trials? We think journals have a clear set of roles and responsibilities here, not least because so many are listed as endorsing the CONSORT guidelines, which explicitly state that all prespecified outcomes should be reported. The Lancet have somewhat absented themselves from this discussion. Our published correction letters have, in most cases, been accompanied by letters from other researchers raising methodological criticisms of the trial in question. In all cases, our published letters have been accompanied by an author’s reply. Where this reply has reiterated significant misrepresentations or misunderstandings around pre-specification of outcomes, we have written a follow-up letter to the journal to point these out. However, each of these subsequent letters has been rejected by the Lancet editors; and our efforts to get the Lancet editors themselves to give a view, on misreported outcomes in their journal, have not yet had a reply. [Read more…]

JAMA reject correction letters on all trials they have misreported

March 24, 2016 - by Henry Drysdale 1 Comment

Here we publish some correspondence with JAMA, who have declined to correct the record on a series of trials that they have misreported in their pages.

First, one paragraph of background, for those unfamiliar with the problem of outcome switching, and COMPare’s efforts to address it. It is well established that academic journals routinely permit outcome switching in the trial reports that they publish, despite public commitments to address this problem. This is widely recognised as bad, for reasons we have already outlined. For six weeks from October 2015, the COMPare team analysed every RCT published in the top 5 medical journals to check if they had correctly reported their pre-specified outcomes. Where we found discrepancies between the outcomes that were pre-specified and those reported, we wrote a letter to that journal to correct the record. Our intention was to test whether the structures of science are working as they should, and specifically to see whether academic journals are transparent and self-correcting in the face of legitimate concerns being raised about misreporting of trial results. The responses we have received from journals have been extremely varied: from full public engagement and transparent corrections in the BMJ, to inaccurate and concerning responses from the Annals of Internal Medicine and the New England Journal of Medicine.

JAMA is a very widely read journal, with an impact factor of around 35. So far we have analysed 13 of their trials. Of 22 primary outcomes pre-specified across these papers, 17 were correctly reported. However, we also found 87 additional outcomes reported that were not pre-specified in the protocol or trial registry, and only 34 of these were declared as novel. Furthermore, 70 of the 105 pre-specified secondary outcomes spread across these publications were never reported. Our full results and raw data are available here. Only 2 of the trials we assessed from JAMA were perfectly reported.

[Read more…]

Tagged With: jama

How did NEJM respond when we tried to correct 20 misreported trials?

February 25, 2016 - by Henry Drysdale 14 Comments

It is well established that academic journals routinely permit outcome switching in the trial reports that they publish, despite public commitments to address this problem. For six weeks from October 2015, the COMPare team analysed every RCT published in the top 5 medical journals to check if they had correctly reported their pre-specified outcomes. Where we found discrepancies between the outcomes that were pre-specified and those reported, we wrote a letter to that journal to correct the record. The responses we have received from journals have been extremely varied: from full public engagement and transparent corrections in the BMJ, to inaccurate and concerning responses in the Annals of Internal Medicine.

New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) is the highest impact factor journal in medicine. So far we have analysed 23 of their trials. To NEJM’s credit, of 32 primary outcomes pre-specified across these papers, 31 were correctly reported. However, 16 publications added in a total of 65 additional outcomes that were not pre-specified in the protocol or trial registry, and only 2 of these were declared as novel. Furthermore, a total of 160 pre-specified secondary outcomes spread across these publications were either not reported, or were reported incorrectly. Our full results and raw data are available here. Only 3 trials were perfectly reported.

[Read more…]

Tagged With: nejm

Post-hoc “pre-specification” and undeclared deferral of results: a broken record in the making

January 29, 2016 - by Henry Drysdale 1 Comment

COMPare aims to fix the prevalent and ongoing problem of outcome switching in clinical trials. In short, outcome switching is when trialists report something different to what they originally said they were going to: it increases the risk of false positive results and exaggerated findings, and is therefore a bad thing.

For 6 weeks we assessed every trial published in the top 5 medical journals for discrepancies between pre-specified and reported outcomes. Of 67 trials, we found that 58 (87%) contain misreported outcomes [1].

That was phase 1 of COMPare. We are now in phase 2: blogging on our findings and engaging the journals and authors in public discussion on our specific assessments and their attitudes and policies on outcome reporting. The range of responses this has generated has been fascinating and enlightening; from best practice demonstrated by the BMJ [2], to extremely concerning views expressed and actions taken by Annals of Internal Medicine [3]. We are beginning to see a set of recurring themes in these responses that shed light on the underlying reasons for this prevalent problem; largely based on a fundamental misunderstanding of the importance of pre-specification and correct reporting of outcomes.

[Read more…]

Tagged With: annals

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How to cite us

Prior to publication of the first paper on COMPare, please cite this project as:

The COMPare Trials Project. Goldacre B, Drysdale H, Powell-Smith A, et al. www.COMPare-trials.org, 2016.

Or alternatively:

The COMPare Trials Project. Ben Goldacre, Henry Drysdale, Anna Powell-Smith, Aaron Dale, Ioan Milosevic, Eirion Slade, Philip Hartley, Cicely Marston, Kamal Mahtani, Carl Heneghan. www.COMPare-trials.org, 2016.

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